Are UFOs and aliens from another galaxy even a possibility?
A. Odds are slim.
Before jumping to a conclusion – any conclusion, one must understand the probability of that conclusion. When the house shakes, do we immediately suspect paranormal activity or we check the https://earthquake.usgs.gov for earthquake tracking data?
When we find the toilet seat in the upright position, do we suspect ghosts or another occupant of the household? Every day we make educated guesses at unexplained phenomenon – who left the empty milk carton in the fridge, who./what ate the last cookie in the cookie jar, who left the wet spot on the rug.
Occam’s Razor – Look for the simpliest explaination
Occam’s razor is also known as the law of economy or the law of parsimony (frugality). The “razor” refers to the “shaving away” of extraneous material and assumptions. The idiom “when you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras” refers to this principle that the mostly likely solution is the simplest one, not because simpler explanations are most correct, but because you make fewer assumptions when looking for horses instead of zebras.
When it comes to UFO, thinking that light in the sky is a band of aliens from Galaxy Z with a strange of hobby of probing human private parts, is probably the least likely explanation.
Interstellar Travel has many obstacles:
- The incredible distance
- The incredible time
- The incredible cost
- And why bother?
Consider that galaxies are very, very, very far from each other and since traveling faster than the speed of light is impossible without complete death, warp speed and hyperdrive will remain as a theatrical device.
Albert Einstein’s special theory of relativity famously dictates that no known object can travel faster than the speed of light in vacuum, which is 299,792 km/s. This speed limit makes it unlikely that humans will ever be able to send spacecraft to explore beyond our local area of the Milky Way.
The closest known galaxy to us is the Canis Major Dwarf Galaxy, at 236,000,000,000,000,000 km (25,000 light years) from the Sun.
The nearest star is Proxima Centauri – a mere 4 light-years away, the fastest object made by man, the unmanned Voyager spacecraft is traveling along at 11 miles per second. and still it would take 80,000 years to reach it with one of our Voyager space probes.
Proxima Centauri is a small, low-mass star located 4.2465 light-years (1.3020 pc) away from the Sun in the southern constellation of Centaurus. Its Latin name means the “nearest [star] of Centaurus”. This object was discovered in 1915 by Robert Innes and is the nearest-known star to the Sun.
Maybe the UFOs are on autopilot and the crew is long dead? Not much of an incentive to travel to Earth if your DOA.
“Scientifically, we have a rule: you want to be alive at the end of your experiment, not dead,” said Dr. Neil deGrasse Tyson, director of the Rose Center’s Hayden Planetarium at the American Museum of Natural History in New York.
The energy alone needed for interstellar travel would prevent such a thing. Travel between galaxies would require unbelievable amounts of costs in terms of natural resources, workforce and cost. In any conceivable economy, costs can be measured in the sacrifice of the workforce in the creation of the technology and the energy resources are given up to the project.
And then there are migration patterns. We see from our own history that civilizations have expanded bit by bit. Why go halfway around the world and leave behind any connection with established trade and infrastructure when there are nearby islands or continents to develop?
It would make much more sense that an alien race would colonize nearby planets than travel 80,000 miles to some distant planet. Jeez if they found we had better pizza then back on the home planet who would be alive to care?
Imagine creating a spacecraft capable of sustaining life for 80K years and then after eons in space just sneak around at night just putting on a light show? Never saying hello? Just pretending to be swamp gas, a weather balloon or experimental military drone?
Doesn’t seem like a worthwhile endeavor for any alien race.
When you consider the possibility of unexplained lights in the sky are from alien from outer-space visiting Earth, the changes are razor thin.